Thursday, September 21, 2023

Drugs, drug economics, and violence in Colombia and Ecuador, as Colombia withdraws from the war on drugs

 Fighting a war on drugs hasn't yielded clear successes (at any point in the supply chain), but surrendering is no picnic either. The WSJ has the story from Colombia, and the Guardian reports on the situation in Ecuador.

Here's the WSJ story:

Colombian Cocaine Production Sees Record Surge. The country’s output of the drug, which reaches far corners of the world, rises 24%, U.N. says. By Juan Forero

"Colombia has set a record in the estimated production of cocaine, the United Nations said Monday, as President Gustavo Petro’s government tries a less punitive approach to fighting drugs.

"The amount of cocaine manufactured in Colombia, the world’s largest producer, rose to 1,738 tons in 2022, compared with 1,400 tons the year before, a 24% increase, with the cocaine shipped not only to the U.S. but increasingly to Europe and other continents, said officials presenting the U.N. Office on Drugs and Crime’s annual report on Colombia’s cocaine trade. Some 22 million people worldwide consume the drug.

...

"The size of Colombia’s coca fields and the production of cocaine has been rising fast since 2013, when the government of then-President Juan Manuel Santos began a process that by 2015 phased out a U.S.-sponsored program to spray coca fields from crop dusters with the herbicide glyphosate. 

...

"The leftist government of Petro, who took office 13 months ago, has characterized the war on drugs as a failure and veered away from a hard-line approach to dealing with coca farmers. For Colombia to reduce cocaine production to 900 tons by 2026, Justice Minister Néstor Iván Osuna, said Bogotá would hold negotiations with armed groups, build roads and provide social services. The state also offered assistance for the so-called cocaleros, or farmers, to produce legal crops.

...

"There is additional cause for concern, he said, because of the increasing importance to traffickers of 15 so-called “productive enclaves,” which make up only 14% of all the land dedicated to coca but produce 44% of all the coca in Colombia. In those regions, powerful gangs are intensely focused on the production of high-quality cocaine and the entire economy is linked with the cocaine trade. Those regions are particularly lawless as well as close to transnational drug routes.

...

"About 65% of all the coca in Colombia is now in the provinces of Nariño and Putumayo, which border Ecuador, and Norte de Santander in the northeast bordering Venezuela. All three provinces are hard-hit by violence and lack schools, paved roads, hospitals and other state institutions—as is Ecuador, where the homicide rate has skyrocketed as Colombian cocaine has flowed in."

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Here's the Guardian report on Ecuador:

‘We should treat it as a war’: Ecuador’s descent into drug gang violence. Successive governments have been unable to rein in violence as South American country became cocaine superhighway.  by Dan Collyns 

"In recent years, the South American nation has experienced a nightmarish descent into violence, with successive governments proving unable to rein in organized crime factions. Last month, the cartels showed their power with a mass hostage-taking in six prisons, in an apparent response to the prison transfer of a senior gang leader.

"Before that, presidential candidate Fernando Villavicencio was shot dead in broad daylight less than two weeks before the election’s first round.

...

"But the country’s armed forces and police appear to be losing the battle against the narcos who have turned the country into a cocaine superhighway as gangs – both inside and outside the weak and overcrowded prison system – vie for drug trafficking routes, with backing from powerful Mexican cartels.

"Drug trafficking is not new in Ecuador, thanks to its location – sandwiched between the world’s main cocaine producers Colombia and Peru – its porous borders and major Pacific Ocean ports. The amount of cocaine seized at the country’s ports has tripled since 2020 to 77.4 tonnes last year.

"But in recent years, the scale of the accompanying violence has rocketed. Ecuador saw 4,600 violent deaths in 2022, double the previous year, and the country is set to break the record again with 3,568 violent deaths in the first half of 2023. Of those, nearly half were in Guayas, the province that includes Guayaquil, where nearly 1,700 people have been murdered so far this year.

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Earlier posts on further down the supply chain:

Tuesday, August 8, 2023

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