Showing posts with label religion. Show all posts
Showing posts with label religion. Show all posts

Friday, June 5, 2026

Some major themes in Moral Economics (posted by the Next Big Idea Club)

 The Next Big Idea Club asked me to summarize some of the themes in Moral Economics, and has now published them here:

A Nobel Economist Explains Why Some Markets Make Us Uneasy 

Below, Alvin Roth shares five key insights from his new book, Moral Economics: From Prostitution to Organ Sales, What Controversial Transactions Reveal About How Markets Work.

Alvin is the Craig and Susan McCaw Professor of Economics at Stanford University and the George Gund Professor of Economics and Business Administration Emeritus at Harvard University. A pioneering expert in the field of market design, he was awarded the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2012. He is also a member of the National Academy of Sciences and past president of the American Economic Association.

What’s the big idea?

There’s an old joke about economics and sociology that says economists try to understand the choices people make, and sociologists try to understand why people don’t really have any choices. Alvin looks at how societies try to decide whether to allow some choices and ban others.

Listen to the audio version of this Book Bite—read by Alvin himself—in the Next Big Idea App, or buy the book.

Moral Economics Alvin Roth Next Big Idea Club Book Bite

1. Morally contested markets.

There are lots of morally contested markets and transactions that some people would like to engage in, but others think shouldn’t be allowed. Often, the objections are stated in terms of moral or religious reasons. And the transactions that the opponents seek to ban don’t harm them personally—they might not even know the transactions had occurred unless someone tells them.

For example, same-sex marriage is a morally contested transaction: two people want to marry each other, and some other people don’t think same-sex marriages should be allowed—even though you can’t tell if someone is married unless they tell you, for instance, by wearing a wedding ring. For centuries, marriage was regarded as inherently heterosexual. But, after considerable controversy, the U.S. and many other countries have legalized same-sex unions.

This isn’t a unique situation. Lots of controversial markets are connected to reproduction. There have been bans at different times and places on contraceptives, in vitro fertilization, abortion, and surrogacy. That is, there have been laws enshrining opposing views about whether a woman should be able to prevent becoming pregnant during sex (by buying contraception), should be able to initiate a pregnancy without sexual intercourse (via IVF), or be able to terminate a pregnancy via abortion, not to mention being a surrogate or having a surrogate bear a baby. In the U.S., all those things have been through the courts multiple times and with different results.

Notice that reliable contraception and IVF involve modern disputes about modern technologies. Before reliable contraception, sex between a man and a woman often resulted in pregnancy, and before assisted reproductive technology, like IVF, sex was the only avenue to pregnancy. Many traditional laws and norms that attempted to keep sex within the bounds of marriage between a man and a woman were attempts to ensure that babies would be born into families. But if pregnancy becomes a choice, and if there are other ways to have a child than intercourse between a man and a woman, then the door opens to more expansive views about who can have sex with whom, and who can start a family. So, while expanding marriage to include same-sex couples doesn’t depend on modern technology, we can see that the changes in reproductive technology may have moved the needle on what kinds of marriages and related transactions receive social support.

Of course, bans on extra-marital sex, prostitution, or abortion never succeeded in making those things disappear, even though they raised barriers.

2. Bans on markets need social support to work well.

Some bans work well while others give rise to active black markets. For example, why is it so easy to buy drugs, but so hard to hire a hitman? U.S. laws aren’t so different for drug dealers and hitmen: if we catch them, we send them to prison for a long time. Yet our prisons are filled with drug dealers, and there have been years in which more than 100,000 people died from opioid overdoses. But murder for hire is so rare that it doesn’t even make it into the national crime statistics, and homicides from any cause are vastly fewer than drug overdose deaths.

At least some of the difference has to do with how people think about drugs and murder. If I told you I was looking to buy some heroin, you would be surprised, but you wouldn’t call the police (and if you did, they would tell you that they were busy with more pressing calls). But if I told you I was looking to hire a killer, you might very well call the police, and when you did, they would encourage you to tell me that I might find an available hitman at a certain bar, where I would find myself trying to hire an undercover detective. To put it another way, there are neighborhoods where drugs are readily available, and the neighbors look away, but not so many neighborhoods where killers are the norm, in part reflecting that the social norm against drugs is much more porous than against murder.

“At least some of the difference has to do with how people think about drugs and murder.”

I don’t know how we should best make progress in dealing with the markets for addictive, lethal drugs. Not only are we losing the “War on Drugs,” but it won’t even accept our surrender: experiments with decriminalizing drug use have shown the potential to make cities less livable. We’re going to need to experiment, to find better ways to proceed.

It’s worth noticing that we’ve learned to live with legal markets for tobacco and alcohol, even though each of those causes more deaths than are due to drug overdoses. And we’re wrestling with some other kinds of addiction, such as gambling (particularly on your phone, during a game).

The drug epidemic teaches us that well-intentioned policies can fail. By and large no one approves of heroin, but we haven’t succeeded in vanquishing it any more than we succeeded in making alcohol disappear during Prohibition.

3. Moral intuitions aren’t enough by themselves.

We need to gather and pay attention to evidence about the consequences of particular policies. This is hard when moral intuitions collide, partly because much moral argumentation rests on weak or no evidence. But we can’t afford to judge our policies just by their intentions. We have to at least look at their consequences, too.

Nevertheless, moral intuitions are important and consequential, so we need to understand them better. There are some things that many moral intuitions have in common. For example, concern about the possible exploitation of vulnerable people is often an issue.

4. Sometimes adding money to a transaction arouses repugnance.

For example, paying in cash is what turns sex into prostitution. Often, the objection to introducing money into transactions is that it might be an undue influence that could coerce the poor into transactions that they (or we) would prefer not to take part in. But that’s over-broad: many people work for financial pay at jobs they wouldn’t otherwise do. And many goods and services that we need wouldn’t be available if they couldn’t be paid for.

“Many people work for financial pay at jobs they wouldn’t otherwise do.”

Pharmaceuticals made from blood plasma are a good example. Many countries ban payments to plasma donors and try (almost always unsuccessfully) to generate as much as they need of the large amounts of plasma required to treat many diseases from unpaid donors. How do they make up for the shortfall? Fortunately, you can buy plasma and plasma-derived medicines from the U.S. We’re the Saudi Arabia of blood plasma, exporting tens of billions of dollars of plasma products each year, collected largely from plasma donors who are paid.

5. Religion remains important in many controversies.

It plays a large role in the growth of legal medical aid in dying, in the U.S. and elsewhere.

Overall, in pursuing moral economics, we have to keep in mind the maxim that ought implies can, and the things we feel morally obligated to do, whether by supporting them or banning them, have to be things that we can do. To understand those limits, we need evidence, including experimentation, to figure out how to proceed when we’re worried by all our options.

 

Thursday, March 26, 2026

An unbalanced and congested marriage market afflicting some groups of religious Jews

 Here's an article about the "shidduch" (matchmaking) crisis being experienced in some parts of the orthodox Jewish community.  It's interesting (in particular to readers of this blog) for several reasons. As it's title suggests, it is about both a particular institutional feature of a marriage market and about the use of secular science by religious communities.

The general problem is the "marriage squeeze" in communities in which husbands tend to be older than wives, when birth cohorts are growing (so there are e.g. more younger women than, say, two-year-older men).  The author argues that the practice of asking new students in yeshiva to promise not to date during their first semester adds congestion to the mix, when they all come on the marriage market at the same time. 

(A glossary may help:  shidduchim is matchmaking, a shidduch is a match, a shadchan is a matchmaker, chochma is wisdom, a yeshiva bochur is a student, bochurim is the plural, 

From VIN News: 

The Freezer Policy and Science  By Rabbi Yair Hoffman 

"There are several thousand more young women than young men currently in shidduchim.  ... "We have girls who have not received a single shidduch call in months — if not ever. 

...

"We cannot ignore the needs of half of Klal Yisroel. The time to act is now. 

"The Midrash in Eichah Rabbah (2:13) teaches us: “Im yomar lecha adam: Chochma baGoyim — Taamin. If a person tells you that the nations of the world possess wisdom — believe it.

...

"We are instructed to take Chochma seriously. The empirical sciences, mathematics, economics, the study of how systems behave — these are chochma. And Chazal tell us: taamin. Believe it. Use it.

...

"Three of the world’s foremost experts in the science of matching markets and queue theory have produced findings that apply directly — with surgical precision — to the shidduch crisis and to the structural damage caused by the Freezer. The Torah tells us: taamin. Listen to what they have found.

"Winner of the 2012 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economics for his foundational work on matching markets — Professor Roth devoted his career to studying the precise kind of system our shidduch world represents: a two-sided market where two groups must find each other, and where price alone cannot clear the market. He uses marriage itself as his primary model.

"In his landmark paper “Jumping the Gun: Imperfections and Institutions Related to the Timing of Market Transactions” (American Economic Review, 1994), Roth documented a phenomenon he calls “unraveling” — the destructive timing failures that occur in matching systems. He found that timing problems:

“…play an important and persistent role in a wide variety of settings” — explicitly including “marriage in a variety of cultures.”

"Roth further showed that when one side of a matching system is held back and then released in a synchronized wave — precisely what the Freezer does to bochurim — the result is “congestion”: a catastrophic overload in which a sudden surge of participants meets an accumulated backlog they cannot process equitably. In his research on the market for clinical psychologists, Roth documented that congestion left thousands of participants “stranded” without a match — assigned to no one — not because of a shortage of partners, but purely because of the structural timing failure.

...

"Professor John Little of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology published in 1961 what is now called “Little’s Law” — the foundational theorem of all queue theory, cited in virtually every textbook on operations research, supply chain management, and systems analysis. It is one of the most proven and universally applied mathematical theorems in modern science.

"Little’s Law states with mathematical certainty: 

“An arrival rate exceeding an exit rate would represent an unstable system, where the number of waiting customers in the store would gradually increase towards infinity.”

...

"In plain language: once a timing imbalance is introduced into a matching system, the backlog will grow 

...

"In their jointly published research, Roth and Xing documented what happens when a large matching system attempts to process too many participants in too narrow a window of time:

“Congestion is an issue whenever a large number of offers have to be made [simultaneously]. The system… stranded [thousands of participants] on waiting lists… assigned to no one or to options for which they expressed no preference.”

...

This is the precise mechanism the Freezer creates. By holding back an entire cohort of bochurim and releasing them at once into a pool of girls that has been accumulating for months, the system is flooded. Bochurim cannot adequately evaluate the full pool. They gravitate toward the newest, youngest entrants. The girls who have been waiting longest — those who entered the system months or years earlier — are stranded. They are not passed over because of any failing of their own. They are stranded by a structural timing failure

...

"To fix a problem, we must understand it. The primary cause of the crisis is well-known: bochurim generally marry girls a number of years younger than themselves. Since the Jewish population grows every year, Baruch Hashem, this age gap means more girls enter shidduchim each year than boys — and many girls are inevitably left behind.

"But there is a second, compounding structural factor: the timing distortion caused by the BMG Freezer. Any bochur who arrives for the winter zman, beginning Rosh Chodesh Cheshvan, must wait three and a half months until the Fifteenth of Shvat before he may begin dating. He signs a written agreement to this effect. The stated purpose was noble: to allow bochurim to become acclimated to their new yeshivah and learn without interruption." 

###########

previous posts about the shidduch crisis:

Friday, January 8, 2016  Baby booms and marriage squeezes

Tuesday, December 17, 2024  Marriage markets among religious Jews

 and on matchmaking more generally:) 

Tuesday, June 5, 2012 What has G-d been doing since the Creation? (Matchmaking, of course...))


 

 

Monday, January 19, 2026

AEA Code of Conduct: (I can't answer "no" to all of the screening questions)

 When I was president of the American Economic Association, we began to think it would be prudent to have a formal code of conduct (see the link below for details).  But part of that effort resulted in a disclosure questionnaire required of all those who would serve on AEA committees. As I recall, I felt that one of the questions was too broadly posed. 

I've agreed to serve another term on the Committee on the Job Market, so I get to fill out the questionnaire, once again.  My responses are below. You should be able to guess the question I thought was phrased too broadly.

AEA Disclosure Questionnaire

Please review and respond to the disclosure questions below, with explanations as needed. It is important that you answer truthfully. Your answers to the questions will be reviewed by the President and Secretary-Treasurer and will be shared with other members of the Executive Committee only if necessary and on a need-to-know basis.
Affirmative answers to questions would not necessarily be disqualifying but will be considered during the review. To expedite this process, I ask that you please respond to these questions at your earliest convenience.
Here are the questions, and my answers. 

  

######## 

 I would have had more reason(s) to answer "yes" if I had played on any  gender-segregated athletic teams.

Religion and gender turn out to be complicated (and therefore well worth studying). 

Friday, July 18, 2025

World religions, by population

 The Pew research center has been keeping an eye on religious affiliations around the world. More than half of us are Christians or Muslims.  Only about two tenths of one percent of us are Jews. Their headline takeaway is the growing number of unaffiliated:

Nearly a quarter of the world’s population is religiously unaffiliated 

Nearly a quarter of the world’s population is religiously unaffiliated 

 

How the Global Religious Landscape Changed From 2010 to 2020
Muslims grew fastest; Christians lagged behind global population increase
  By Conrad Hackett, Marcin Stonawski, Yunping Tong, Stephanie Kramer, Anne Shi and Dalia Fahm 

Bar chart showing that Christians are the world’s largest religious group

Sunday, July 13, 2025

The repugnance of slavery (1847)--an open letter

  The civil war was preceded by a schism among Northern and Southern Baptists over the institution of slavery.  The recent rediscovery of an original document puts that story in the news.

The NYT has the story:

Discovery of 178-Year-Old Baptist Antislavery Document Elates Faith Leaders.  The handwritten resolution, signed by 116 Baptist ministers from Massachusetts who called slavery “repugnant,” was thought to have been lost.  By Aishvarya Kavi

"The scroll was handwritten in 1847, just two years after Baptists in the United States split, with the Southern congregations breaking off over their Northern counterparts’ condemnation of slavery.

"Using forceful language, 116 Baptist ministers in Massachusetts had signed their name to what they called “A Resolution and Protest Against Slavery,” condemning the system as “entirely repugnant.”

...

"At the time, the increasingly forceful stance by the Baptist ministers in Massachusetts against slavery reflected the widening divide between the North and South

...
"That national breach would become so wide that, 14 years after the document’s signing, it would lead to the Civil War."

#########

This offers a ray of hope to those of us who today sometimes sign open letters.

Tuesday, June 17, 2025

Informed consent and mortal sin, in the case of Medical Aid in Dying

 Studying morally contested transactions doesn't always suggest paths by which consensus might be reached. It often suggests that conflicting views may be irreconcilable

That seems to be the case for the growing legalization of Medical Aid in Dying (MAID, also called medically assisted suicide), about which I've recently blogged several times.  

MAID laws face determined religious opposition.  When Hawaii legalized MAID in 2018, the Catholic Diocese of Honolulu issued some guidance to clergy pointing out that the law's requirements for informed consent seemed to coincide with the requirements for a sin to be a mortal sin.

 Diocese of Honolulu November 5, 2018: Instruction Regarding Sacraments and Funerals In Situations Involving Physician Assisted Suicide for Clergy, Parish Staff and Ministers to the Sick and Homebound
“Everyone is responsible for his life before God who has given it to him. It is God who remains the sovereign Master of life. We are obliged to accept life gratefully and preserve it for his honor and the salvation of our souls. We are stewards, not owners, of the life God has entrusted to us. It is not ours to dispose of” (Catechism of the Catholic Church [CCC], no. 2280)

...

7."For a sin to be a mortal sin, three conditions must be fulfilled:

  •  the matter must be grave,
  •  the person must have knowledge of the gravity of the matter, and
  •  the person must freely choose the matter after sufficient deliberation (see CCC, nos. 1857-1859).

8."The process required by the State of Hawaii for a person seeking medically assisted suicide is meant to guarantee that he or she is fully informed and has made a deliberate consent, thus likely fulfilling the requirements for mortal sin.


9." If a person dies in mortal sin without contrition, such final impenitence results in the “exclusion from Christ's kingdom and the eternal death of hell, for our freedom has the power to make choices for ever, with no turning back” (CCC, no. 1861; see no. 1864)

 

HT: Julio Elias

Wednesday, June 11, 2025

Evangelical resolution on the 21st Century

 The NYT has the story:

Southern Baptists Endorse Effort to Overturn Same-Sex Marriage
The nation’s largest Protestant denomination was motivated by conservative Christians’ success in reversing Roe v. Wade.
   By Ruth Graham

"Southern Baptists voted overwhelmingly on Tuesday to call for the overturning of the Supreme Court ruling that legalized same-sex marriage, with strategists citing the successful effort that overturned the right to legal abortions as a possible blueprint for the new fight.

...

"The measure opposing same-sex marriage was part of a sweeping and unusually long resolution under the title, “On Restoring Moral Clarity through God’s Design for Gender, Marriage, and the Family.” It includes calls for defunding Planned Parenthood, for “parental rights in education and healthcare,” and ensuring “safety and fairness in female athletic competition,” a reference to the debate over transgender women in women’s sports.

...

"The resolution that passed on Tuesday criticizes the pursuit of “willful childlessness” and refers to the country’s declining fertility rate as a crisis. That language goes beyond Baptists’ traditional support of general “family values,” embracing a cultural agenda that encourages larger families as a matter of civilizational survival. Baptist theology does not oppose birth control per se.

Other resolutions passed on Tuesday called for banning pornography, and condemning sports betting. “We denounce the promotion and normalization of this predatory industry in every athletic context,” the gambling resolution stated. It called on corporations involved to “cease their exploitative practices,” on policymakers to curtail sports betting, and on Christians to refuse to participate.

...

"Last year, the convention adopted a resolution opposing the use of in vitro fertilization, frustrating many Republicans who wanted to reassure voters that their opposition to abortion would not endanger widely popular fertility treatments."

Saturday, January 18, 2025

Separation of church and university

 There are tensions between churches and universities, and one of them is playing out between the United Methodist Church and several Methodist universities.

Here's the story from  Inside Higher ED:

SMU Wants to Separate From the Church but Keep the ‘Methodist’
The Texas Supreme Court will hear oral arguments today in an ongoing legal saga between the United Methodist Church and Southern Methodist University over who governs the university.  By  Sara Weissman 

"A contentious, six-year legal battle between the United Methodist Church and Southern Methodist University is coming before the Texas Supreme Court today.

"The controversy centers around who maintains control over the university—its Board of Trustees or the church—after the university tried to distance itself in 2019. The move came at a time when the church strengthened restrictive policies toward LGBTQ+ ordinations and marriages, exacerbating ideological fault lines within the denomination. SMU president R. Gerald Turner said at the time that the church decision would have no bearing on the university as “a separate corporate entity governed by the SMU Board of Trustees” and the university would continue to follow its nondiscrimination statement, which includes “sexual orientation and gender identity and expression.”

...

"The conflict started when university leaders changed its articles of incorporation in November 2019 “to make it clear that SMU is solely maintained and controlled by its board as the ultimate authority for the university,” Turner said at the time. The Board of Trustees also removed language that the university was “to be forever owned, maintained and controlled by the South Central Jurisdictional Conference of The United Methodist Church.”

...

"“Put simply, the Trustees of SMU had and have no authority to amend the Articles of Incorporation without the prior approval and authorization of SCJC,” the 2019 lawsuit reads. The church has accused the university of breach of contract and fiduciary duties.

...

"Affiliated institutions are required to go through a process every 10 years where they affirm they’re following church policies and procedures, although they have the option to let their affiliation lapse. But the United Methodist Church and its advocates are adamant that SMU went about asserting its independence in the wrong way."

Tuesday, January 14, 2025

Organ transplant ban by Taliban in Afghanistan (BBC)

 Afshin Nikzad forwards me this report from  the BBC Persian service (in Farsi, but automatically translated by Chrome):

Kidney transplant halted in Afghanistan  by Sajjad Mohammadi

"A number of private hospitals in Kabul and Herat told the BBC that the Taliban government has banned kidney transplants in Afghan hospitals for a month now.

"The Taliban government's Ministry of Encouraging Good and Forbidding Evil announced about a month ago that, according to the seventh paragraph of Article 18 of the ministry's law, the sale and use of human body parts such as kidneys, liver, eyes, and hair is prohibited.

"The ministry said: "The basis and purpose of this decision is to preserve human dignity and respect, and the human body has special sanctity, and its organs should not under any circumstances be used as a means of commercialization or profiteering."

Tuesday, December 17, 2024

Marriage markets among religious Jews

 Here's a 2024 report:

The Challenges of Singlehood among American Orthodox Jews Part II  by  Dr. Matt Williams, Dr. Michelle Shain, Dr. Guila Benchimol, Channah Cohen, and Elisha Penn, The Center for Communal Research of the Orthodox Union  ou.org/research

Note: a shadchan is a matchmaker, a shidduch is a match.

 

"Matchmakers believe single men and women need someone “in the middle” to coach or guide them through the dating process. Some matchmakers see it as their role to help single individuals understand what compatibility looks like in a partner and that some single individuals’ expectations are “very unrealistic.” They express “trying to change the mindset” of the people they try to set up. Because some matchmakers feel that single people are inflexible about their “list” and are “looking for people they cannot have,” they may offer “a little bit of tweaking” or “point certain things out” to single men and women about their dating choices. One matchmaker describes her work as “1% idea, 99% counseling, guiding, phone calls.”  

...

"In summary, the single men and women interviewed and surveyed rarely feel they can successfully find a spouse on their own. Based on the survey findings, they are correct—the more one diversifies the types of finders they use, the more likely they are to meet eligible dates.
"At the same time, single men and women express frustration at the difficulty of accessing relevant potential partners. Few women and less than half of men feel they are frequently exposed to quality potential matches.
"Within our sample, more than a third (male 35%, female, 36%) of respondents met someone they dated in  the last six months through friends and family, well over the 20% who met through a matchmaker. Friends  and family play a key role in helping single men and women find a suitable partner as they are the ones who know them best and can suggest compatible people to date. This finding is echoed in the forthcoming OU study on the shidduch system in the Yeshivish community. Perhaps because it is not formalized like matchmakers, the role friends and family play is often overlooked, but it is a very effective way to meet  potential dates"

 

HT: Daniel Lerer 

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Earlier, for  some secular comparisons: 

Friday, August 9, 2019