Suppose there were a pandemic that caused widespread lockdowns. How might this influence the outcome of a labor market that was forced to switch from in-person, on-site interviews to remote interviews via Zoom or its equivalents?
Vikram Manjunath and Thayer Morrill take up the challenge, motivated by the case of the National Resident Matching Program, which matches new doctors to hospital residency programs. (Match Day is March 19 this year, so we may know some relevant things about how the pandemic influenced the Match not too long after.)
Interview Hoarding by Vikram Manjunath and Thayer Morrill, February 22, 2021
Abstract: Many centralized matching markets are preceded by interviews between the participants. We study the impact on the final match of an increase to the number of interviews one side of the market can participate in. Our motivation is the match between residents and hospitals where, due to the COVID-19 pandemic, interviews for the 2020-21 season of the NRMP match have switched to a virtual format. This has drastically reduced the cost to applicants of accepting interview offers. However, the reduction in cost is not symmetric since applicants, not programs, bore most of the costs of in-person interviews. We show that if doctors are willing to accept more interviews but the hospitals do not increase the number of interviews they offer, no doctor will be better off and potentially many doctors will be harmed. This adverse consequence results from a mechanism we describe as interview hoarding. We prove this analytically and characterize optimal mitigation strategies for special cases. We use simulations to extend the insights from our analytical results to more general settings.
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Update: Manjunath, Vikram, and Thayer Morrill. "Interview hoarding." Theoretical Economics 18, no. 2 (2023): 503-527.
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