Itai Ashlagi writes:
Linda Cai and Clayton Thomas, both graduate students, have a
very short, elegant and straightforward proof for why the short side has a
large advantage in two-sided matching markets with uniformly random generated
preferences (in a large market with n men and n+1 women, in any stable matching
men get on average their logn rank and women get on average their n/logn
rank). Here is the paper.
So let’s just describe the proof.
Quick background:
In a balanced market with n people on each side, the
men-proposing deferred acceptance (MPDA) terminates the moment all women
received at least one proposal. It is quite straightforward to show that this
happens after O(nlogn) proposals by men. Why? The number of proposals dominates
(but very similar) to the number of steps in the famous “coupon collector”
problem: there are n different coupons which are drawn with replacement until
all coupons are drawn: the number of draws is the sum of expectations of
geometric random variables, which sums to n times the n-th harmonic, or
O(nlogn). So each man makes on average O(logn) proposals. Since
women receive on average O(logn) proposals their average rank for their stable
partner is least n/logn.
A lemma by Immorlica and Mahdian, in another beautiful and
important paper: a woman w* has a stable partner who she ranks better than k if
and only if w* remains matched in the MPDA when she truncates her list after
rank k. well, matching theory….
Let’s go to the market with n men and n+1 women:
By the lemma, w*’s rank in a woman-optimal stable matching
is the minimum rank k she can truncate her list at while still being matched
under MPDA. Now suppose w* decides to reject all proposals she
receives. Run MPDA until it terminates - when all women other than w*
receive a match. The total number of proposals from men is again like the
coupon collector, O(nlogn). And so w* received an average of O(logn)
proposals. So she cannot expect to have a stable partner she ranks better than
n/logn (and in expectation will remain unmatched if she truncates below that).
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